Since our last column, the Seahawks have begun shaping
the look of the 2014 roster. They've retained significant contributors
from the Super Bowl run-- Michael Bennett, Lemuel Jeanpierre, Jeron
Johnson, Tarvaris Jackson and Anthony McCoy. Sadly, we've also seen them
part ways with integral components like Golden Tate (Lions), Red Bryant
(Jaguars), Chris Clemons (Jaguars), Breno Giacomini (Jets), Clinton
McDonald (Buccaneers), Chris Maragos (Eagles) and Sidney Rice (free
agent).
Harvin's health will always be a cause for concern and both Baldwin and Kearse will have to prove they can make the jump from 'pedestrian' to viable starters this coming season. Tremendous depth was the recipe for success last year and we're beginning to see the roster thin out.
AH: I hear your concern about the receiving corp, but relax and understand we have a built in upgrade to Golden Tate named Percy Harvin. I also wouldn't count out the possibility of resigning Sidney Rice at a minimal one year deal. Another possibility to add the the position group is Pete's annual wide receiver reclamation project. I see Kenny Britt potentially being an option here for a minimal deal with high upside. He falls right in line with the history of Mike Williams, Braylon Edwards, and Terrell Owens.
So,
in direct response to your concern at the wide receiver position, there
are only a handful of teams with a better 1, 2, 3 combo of Percy,
Baldwin and Kearse. I do think we bolster the group through the draft,
but the concern everyone is feeling is over the emotional loss of Golden
and not so much the rational analysis of the talent at the position.
The
two position groups with the most attrition is both the offense and
defensive lines. The loss of Red Bryant is to be reinforced with the
growth of Jesse Williams (who the organization is very excited about)
and an increased role of Seattle's premier free agent retention, in
Michael Bennett.
The loss
of Clinton McDonald will be filled in by the progression of Jordan Hill.
Hill will graduate to become the situational one gap pass rusher, and
eventually taking over for Mebane in two years.
The
offensive line suffers the loss of two starters, Paul McQuistan and
Breno Giacomini. This is concerning. While the organization has strong
belief in both Alvin Bailey and Michael Bowie, it would be unfortunate
to go into this next season without adding competition to this position
group. Seattle must add to the OL if they wish to maintain their
identity of being a run first offense.
One
things remains true: Seattle stays true to their philosophy. Seattle
prizes intelligent, athletic lineman than can make reads on the go.
Seattle values cornerbacks with extended wing spans that play physical.
Wide receivers are scouted and graded on their play making ability,
mental capacity and run blocking. The 'X' wide receiver position is
favored to have an expansive wing span, red zone threat and an imposing
run blocker.
CC: I agree that Harvin is several ranks higher than Tate in skill and ability, but I think it would be foolish to pencil him in as a 16-game starter next season. I love the idea of bringing in Kenny Britt as a reclamation project on an incentive-based deal. It'd be great to see him get his act together for us.
This regime doesn't have a great track record when it comes to drafting receivers. Outside of Tate, there hasn't been much success for Seattle. Kris Durham, Chris Harper and Jameson Konz never made much of an impact. However, they have had tremendous luck in signing undrafted receivers with Baldwin and Kearse.
Initially, my hope was that Seattle would draft tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins out of Washington. I assumed that Miller would be cut and we would be left with Luke Willson and Anthony McCoy. Now I'm leaning more toward the urgency of adding receiver depth. How do you see the tight end group shaking out and what do you expect Seattle to do with their first pick in the draft?
If
Seattle does choose to go after a TE in the draft this year, I only see
two options: those being Eric Ebron and Austin Seferian-Jenkins. Jack
Amaro is a nice specimen, but Seattle drafted that guy last year in the
5th round. His name is Luke Willson. I expect to see a big jump in his
progress this year, possibly enough to move on from Anthony McCoy or
Zach Miller with the addition of one of the two draftees or Jermichael
Finley.
One other possible
scenario is that Seattle is looking at a possible sign and trade with
Miller. The Bucs have been movers and shakers, a possible reunion with
the Raiders or maybe even Atlanta, Tennessee or the J-E-T-S? There is a
good market out there for Zach Miller. That foot likely won't come down
until Brandon Pettigrew signs, though. Our front office relationships in
both Tennessee and NYJ could benefit with the combination of needs at
the TE position.
If Seattle were to trade Zach Miller, I would estimate his value would be at a 5th round pick.
CC: One last topic before we wrap this up. The lynchpin of this team last season was its tenacious defense anchored by its remarkable depth. We've seen Bryant, Maragos, Clemons and McDonald sign with new teams this offseason. Browner will most likely not return and Walter Thurmond is visiting other teams. Even throwaway guys like O'Brian Schoefield and Ty Powell found gigs with new teams at much higher salaries than they earned here. We knew that Seattle would get raided after winning the Super Bowl, but the question remains whether or not they can restock the pantry with enough depth to repeat. Do you think Seattle will make any more waves in free agency to address defensive depth? What would you say is the top three position priorities to address through the draft?
AH: To tell you the truth, I don't see Seattle reaching for big deals in free agency on players outside of this organization for several years. Not unless it's a great team deal. Seattle will look to retain it's core group of players while letting expendable players go.
AH: To tell you the truth, I don't see Seattle reaching for big deals in free agency on players outside of this organization for several years. Not unless it's a great team deal. Seattle will look to retain it's core group of players while letting expendable players go.
That's
not to say the Seahawks don't go for any guys in free agency. Schneider
will never turn away from cost effective deals. Jared Allen, Julius
Peppers, Kenny Britt, Henry Melton, Jermichael Finley are all possible short term
deals that Schneider would likely have interest in after the market dies
down a bit.
Pete Carroll
is employing a philosophy that operates on a college like timescale
approach. In college, Pete had guys between one and five years. With
that type of turnover, you can't overly base your system on individual
players and maintain consistent success. That approach would give you a
lot of up and downs. By approaching it from a system approach, we expect
to progress and graduate new players from within. It's your basic
freshman to senior approach. You get guys with the mental tools and
physical equipment to play the position, then develop them. You develop
with continuity and consistency. We have great consistency with Gus
Bradley/Dan Quinn, Ken Norton Jr., and Tom Cable. Those coaches are the
men that make this philosophy successful.
As
for my top positions on need in the draft, I would say that adding
competition to the offensive line is the teams number one need after
moving on from McQuistan and Giacomini. Cutting James Carpenter in camp
is not beyond the realm of possibility, but even if we don't cut him we
will still need to make a contract decision with him next year. And
since I imagine that Seattle will be moving on from Lynch after the
upcoming year, it would be best to have a familiar offensive line during
the transition to Christine Michael.
Wide
receiver. Done. He will be tall. He will be physical. Don't be
discouraged if Seattle doesn't draft this guy early. The talent at this
position group and overall size is unprecedented... maybe even two
receivers.
Pass rushers are
always held in high regard. KJ Wright and Malcolm Smith will be RFA's,
and would likely benefit the team by adding more depth there, allowing
Bruce Irvin to be more versatile. Where Michael Bennett can alter from
inside to outside the defensive line, Bruce Irvin will make the biggest
leap this upcoming season and, I believe, will become one of the
defensive terrors of the league.